Q. 9. Two dice are thrown. Find the probability
that sum of the numbers on two dice is 9, given that
the first die shows 6. (Dec. 2001)
Solution. Two dice can be thrown in 6 X 6
= 36 ways.
A total of 9 can be obtained as
(6, 3), (3, 6), (5, 4), (4, 5), i.e., in 4 ways.
Required probability = 4/36 or 1/9.
Q. 10. The probability of a college student being
male is 1/3 and that of being female is 2/3. The probability
that a male student completes the course is 5/14 and
that of a female student completes is 5/11. A student
is selected at random and is found to have completed
the course. What is the probability that the student
is a male? (June 2000)
Solution. This problem
is based on Bayes theorem.
Let A = an event that the student completes the
course
B1 = an event that the student selected
is male
B2 = an event that the student selected
is female
Therefore, P(B1) = 1/3, P(B2)
= 2/3
P(A | B1) = 5/14, P(A | B2)
= 5/11
|
P(B1) P(A | B1)
|
P(B1 | A) = |
|
|
P(B1) P(A | B1)
+ P(B2) P(A | B2)
|
|
(1/3) X (5/14)
|
or P(B1 | A) = |
|
|
[(1/3) X (5/14)] + [(2/3)
X (5/11)]
|
or P(B1 | A) = 0.28
Thus, the probability that the student being male
is 0.28.
|